Throughout the Big Ten basketball season. I have historically conducted an analysis on the results of a series of simulations which provides various odds regarding the trajectory of the Michigan State men's basketball season and the Big Ten race as a whole.
In addition, I have provided additional analysis of Michigan State and the Big Ten race using Kenpom efficiency data compared to historical data and the set of statistics known as the "four factors of basketball success."
As the season goes on, the data changes almost daily. This post is meant to be a one-stop shop for the most updated data on the Big Ten race. In addition, this post will contain a explanation of how to read each table or figure. Analysis of the data will be done elsewhere. This post contains "just the facts."
Last Update: March 10, 2025
Percentage of Big Ten games completed: 180 of 180 games (100%)
Enhanced Big Ten Standings
Table 1 below is what I refer to as the enhanced Big Ten standings. It includes the current Big Ten record of each team in addition to four other pieces of data.
First, it contains the current Kenpom rankings and adjusted efficiency margins (AdjEM) for each team. Second, it contains the "plus/minus" for each team. The value is equal to the number of road wins minus the number of homes losses.
Third, Table 1 lists the current "luck" for each Big Ten team. I define luck as the difference between the actual number of wins and the expected number of wins so far, based on the retroactive spreads derived from the Kenpom adjusted efficiencies of each team.
Finally, the table contains the overall strength of schedule advantage/disadvantage relative to the conference average and the strength of resume for each team in Big Ten play only.